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Local LLMs vs Cloud Flagships

Local models have officially surpassed GPT-4o on MMLU. See the benchmarks, projections, and what to run on your Mac today.

MMLU vs GPT-4o

Surpassed

Qwen3.5-9B beats GPT-4o

Best Local Coding

92%

DeepSeek-R1 = Claude 3.5

Sweet Spot

9B

Qwen3.5-9B on 8GB Mac

MMLU Parity

Reached

March 2026

Quality Benchmark (MMLU)

Qwen3.5-9B
91.1%
Local ✅
DeepSeek-R1
90.0%
Local ✅
Qwen3.5-4B
88.8%
Local ✅
GPT-4o
88.7%
Cloud
Claude 3.5
88.3%
Cloud
Llama 3.1 405B
85.2%
Local ✅
Qwen3.5-122B
84.8%
Local ✅
Qwen3.5-35B-A3B
82.1%
Local ✅
GPT-3.5
71.4%
Cloud

Projection : When Will Local = Cloud?

Today

Mar 2026

Matched GPT-4o on MMLU

Next

Mid 2026

= GPT-4o across all tasks

Catch-up

Dec 2026

= Claude 4 / GPT-5

Surpass

Mid 2027

> Cloud

What Should You Use Today?

MacBook 16GB ⭐

Equivalent: GPT-4o level

  • Qwen3.5-9B (91.1% MMLU)
  • Qwen3.5-4B for coding (88.8%)

MacBook 24GB

Equivalent: GPT-4o+

  • Qwen3.5-9B (91.1%)
  • Qwen3.5-35B-A3B (82%)
  • Llama 3.1 70B if 32GB

Mac Studio 128GB

Equivalent: Beyond GPT-4o

  • Llama 3.1 405B (85%)
  • DeepSeek-R1 (90%)

Want the full analysis?

Detailed benchmarks, coding comparisons, and historical trends.

Read Full Article →